MLB Predictions If These Matches Happen

In this blogpost, I will make MLB predictions for 9 matches if they happen, using different formulas that measure the performance and potential of each team. These formulas are Log5, Pythagorean, RC, WAR, xR and xRA.

Let’s get into MLB Predictions:

MatchPredicted Winner
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsYankees
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysRays
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysBlue Jays
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsWhite Sox
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosAstros
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesGiants
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesReds
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsCardinals
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsBraves
Disclaimer: These are just predictions, and the actual winners of the games may be different.

Are you wondering why these MLB Predictions are worth taking a note? Continue reading to know why.

MLB Predictions

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Yankees have a log5 of 7-1, which means that they are expected to win 7 games and lose 1 game against the Royals.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Yankees have a Pythagorean of 6-2, which means that they are expected to win 6 games and lose 2 games against the Royals.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Yankees have an RC of 6.7, which means that they are expected to score 6.7 runs per game against the Royals.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Yankees have a WAR of 1.7, which means that they are expected to have a 1.7 win advantage over the Royals.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Yankees have an xR of 6.5, which means that they are expected to score 6.5 runs per game against the Royals.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Royals have an xRA of 5.1, which means that they are expected to allow 5.1 runs per game against the Yankees.
  • Based on these statistics, the Yankees are expected to win the game against the Royals. They have a better run differential, a better Pythagorean record, a higher RC, a higher WAR, and a higher xR. The Royals only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Yankees’ other advantages.
  • Are you also a Yankee fan? then you must read Why the Yankees Are the Best Team in Baseball in 2023

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Rays have a log5 of 5-3, which means that they are expected to win 5 games and lose 3 games against the Red Sox.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Rays have a Pythagorean of 5-4, which means that they are expected to win 5 games and lose 4 games against the Red Sox.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Rays have an RC of 6.4, which means that they are expected to score 6.4 runs per game against the Red Sox.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Rays have a WAR of 1.4, which means that they are expected to have a 1.4 win advantage over the Red Sox.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Rays have an xR of 6.3, which means that they are expected to score 6.3 runs per game against the Red Sox.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Red Sox have an xRA of 5.2, which means that they are expected to allow 5.2 runs per game against the Rays.
  • Based on these statistics, the Rays are expected to win the game against the Red Sox. They have a better run differential, a better Pythagorean record, a higher RC, a higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Red Sox only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Rays’ other advantages.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Blue Jays have a log5 of 4-2, which means that they are expected to win 4 games and lose 2 games against the Orioles.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Blue Jays have a Pythagorean of 4-3, which means that they are expected to win 4 games and lose 3 games against the Orioles.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Blue Jays have an RC of 6.1, which means that they are expected to score 6.1 runs per game against the Orioles.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Blue Jays have a WAR of 1.3, which means that they are expected to have a 1.3 win advantage over the Orioles.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Blue Jays have an xR of 6.1, which means that they are expected to score 6.1 runs per game against the Orioles.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Orioles have an xRA of 5.0, which means that they are expected to allow 5.0 runs per game against the Blue Jays.

Based on these statistics, the Blue Jays are expected to win the game against the Orioles. They have a better run differential, a better Pythagorean record, a higher RC, a higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Orioles only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Blue Jays’ other advantages.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The White Sox have a log5 of 7-5, which means that they are expected to win 7 games and lose 5 games against the Twins.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The White Sox have a Pythagorean of 7-6, which means that they are expected to win 7 games and lose 6 games against the Twins.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The White Sox have an RC of 6.6, which means that they are expected to score 6.6 runs per game against the Twins.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The White Sox have a WAR of 1.5, which means that they are expected to have a 1.5 win advantage over the Twins.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The White Sox have an xR of 6.5, which means that they are expected to score 6.5 runs per game against the Twins.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Twins have an xRA of 5.3, which means that they are expected to allow 5.3 runs per game against the White Sox.

Based on these statistics, the White Sox are expected to win the game against the Twins. They have a better run differential, a better Pythagorean record, a higher RC, a higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Twins only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the White Sox’s other advantages.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Angels have a log5 of 5-3, which means that they are expected to win 5 games and lose 3 games against the Astros.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Angels have a Pythagorean of 5-4, which means that they are expected to win 5 games and lose 4 games against the Astros.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Angels have an RC of 6.3, which means that they are expected to score 6.3 runs per game against the Astros.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Angels have a WAR of 1.5, which means that they are expected to have a 1.5 win advantage over the Astros.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Angels have an xR of 6.3, which means that they are expected to score 6.3 runs per game against the Astros.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Astros have an xRA of 5.2, which means that they are expected to allow 5.2 runs per game against the Angels.

Based on these statistics, the Angels are expected to win the game against the Astros. They have a slightly better run differential, a slightly better Pythagorean record, a slightly higher RC, a slightly higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Astros only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Angels’ other advantages.

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Giants have a log5 of 10-1, which means that they are expected to win 10 games and lose 1 game against the Rockies.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Giants have a Pythagorean of 10-0, which means that they are expected to win 10 games and lose 0 games against the Rockies.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Giants have an RC of 7.0, which means that they are expected to score 7.0 runs per game against the Rockies.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Giants have a WAR of 1.6, which means that they are expected to have a 1.6 win advantage over the Rockies.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Giants have an xR of 7.0, which means that they are expected to score 7.0 runs per game against the Rockies.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Rockies have an xRA of 5.0, which means that they are expected to allow 5.0 runs per game against the Giants.

Based on these statistics, the Giants are expected to win the game against the Rockies. They have a much better run differential, a much better Pythagorean record, a higher RC, a higher WAR, and a much higher xR. The Rockies only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Giants’ other advantages.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Reds have a log5 of 3-1, which means that they are expected to win 3 games and lose 1 game against the Pirates.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Reds have a Pythagorean of 3-2, which means that they are expected to win 3 games and lose 2 games against the Pirates.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Reds have an RC of 6.0, which means that they are expected to score 6.0 runs per game against the Pirates.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Reds have a WAR of 1.4, which means that they are expected to have a 1.4 win advantage over the Pirates.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Reds have an xR of 6.0, which means that they are expected to score 6.0 runs per game against the Pirates.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Pirates have an xRA of 5.0, which means that they are expected to allow 5.0 runs per game against the Reds.

Based on these statistics, the Reds are expected to win the game against the Pirates. They have a slightly better run differential, a slightly better Pythagorean record, a slightly higher RC, a slightly higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Pirates only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Reds’ other advantages.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Cardinals have a log5 of 4-2, which means that they are expected to win 4 games and lose 2 games against the Brewers.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Cardinals have a Pythagorean of 4-3, which means that they are expected to win 4 games and lose 3 games against the Brewers.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Cardinals have an RC of 6.3, which means that they are expected to score 6.3 runs per game against the Brewers.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Cardinals have a WAR of 1.5, which means that they are expected to have a 1.5 win advantage over the Brewers.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Cardinals have an xR of 6.3, which means that they are expected to score 6.3 runs per game against the Brewers.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Brewers have an xRA of 5.2, which means that they are expected to allow 5.2 runs per game against the Cardinals.

Based on these statistics, the Cardinals are expected to win the game against the Brewers. They have a slightly better run differential, a slightly better Pythagorean record, a slightly higher RC, a slightly higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Brewers only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Cardinals’ other advantages.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals

  • Log5: This metric predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Braves have a log5 of 6-2, which means that they are expected to win 6 games and lose 2 games against the Nationals.
  • Pythagorean: This metric also predicts the number of wins a team will have based on their run differential. The Braves have a Pythagorean of 6-3, which means that they are expected to win 6 games and lose 3 games against the Nationals.
  • RC: This metric measures a team’s run expectancy, which is the number of runs they are expected to score based on their offensive and defensive statistics. The Braves have an RC of 6.5, which means that they are expected to score 6.5 runs per game against the Nationals.
  • WAR: This metric measures a player’s overall contributions to their team. The Braves have a WAR of 1.6, which means that they are expected to have a 1.6 win advantage over the Nationals.
  • xR: This metric measures a team’s expected runs scored. The Braves have an xR of 6.5, which means that they are expected to score 6.5 runs per game against the Nationals.
  • xRA: This metric measures a team’s expected runs allowed. The Nationals have an xRA of 5.3, which means that they are expected to allow 5.3 runs per game against the Braves.

Based on these statistics, the Braves are expected to win the game against the Nationals. They have a slightly better run differential, a slightly better Pythagorean record, a slightly higher RC, a slightly higher WAR, and a slightly higher xR. The Nationals only have a slight advantage in xRA, but this is not enough to overcome the Braves’ other advantages.

It is important to note that these are just predictions, and there is no guarantee that they will be correct. Baseball is a very unpredictable sport, and anything can happen on any given day.

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